Artificial Intelligence

The Singularity – When AI Is Smarter Than Humanity

Since the singularity may well represent the displacement of humans by artificially intelligent machines, as the top species on Earth, we must understand exactly what we mean by “the singularity.” The mathematician John von Neumann first used the term “singularity” …

Will Humanity Survive the 21st Century?

In my last post, I stated, “In making the above predictions [about the singularity], I made one critical assumption. I assumed that humankind would continue the “status quo.” I am ruling out world-altering events, such as large asteroids striking Earth, …

The Inevitability Of A Computer Smarter Than Humanity

In my last post, I predicted that the world would experience the singularity between 2040 -2045, an artificially intelligent machine that exceeds the combined cognitive intelligence of the entire human race. In this post, I will delineate my predictions leading …

Predicting the Singularity

Futurists differ on the technical marvels and cultural changes that will precede the singularity. In this context, let us define the singularity as a point in time when an artificially intelligent machine exceeds the combined cognitive intelligence of the entire …

How Will We Know IF Artificial Intelligence Equals Human Intelligence?

Today, we find many different opinions regarding what constitutes human intelligence. There is no one widely accepted answer. Here are two definitions that have found some acceptance among the scientific community. “A very general mental capability that, among other things, …

Artificial Intelligence Is Approaching Human Intelligence

According to Moore’s law, computer-processing power doubles every eighteen months. Using Moore’s law and simple mathematics suggest that in ten years, the processing power of our personal computers will be over a hundred times greater than the computers we currently …

How Moore’s Law Ended the Second AI Winter

In our last post, I stated, “While AI as a field of research experienced funding surges and recessions, the infrastructure that ultimately fuels AI, integrated circuits, and computer software continued to follow Moore’s law. In the next post, we’ll discuss …

What Caused the Second “AI Winter”?

In our last post, we stated, “When the early founders of AI set extremely high expectations, they invited scrutiny. With the passing years, it became obvious that the reality of artificial intelligence fell short of their predictions. In 1974, funding …

What Caused the First “AI Winter”?

The real science of artificial intelligence (AI) began with a small group of researchers, John McCarthy, Marvin Minsky, Allen Newell, and Herbert Simon. In 1956, these researchers founded the field of artificial intelligence at a conference held at Dartmouth College. …

Will Humanity Survive The 21st Century?

Examples of typical events that most people think could cause humanity’s extinction are a large asteroid impact or a volcanic eruption of sufficient magnitude to cause catastrophic climate change. Although possible, these events actually have a relatively low probability of …

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